It didn’t get much notice, but President Donald Trump has turbocharged logging on public lands in ways that are likely to increase dangerous wildfire. Inside the “Big Beautiful Bill” that became law this summer, a provision directs the U.S. Forest Service to annually increase the timber it sells until the amount almost doubles to 5 million board-feet by 2032.
Why did few people notice this directive to dramatically increase logging from our public lands? One answer is that it got lost as an engaged public fought selling off millions of acres of public land.
Final score: We got to keep the land but not the trees.
Most people support careful logging as part of the smart management of public forests. For instance, a now-irrelevant bipartisan bill called Fix Our Forests Act, cosponsored by Rep. Jeff Hurd, had been steadily advancing through Congress, gathering support from both the timber industry and dozens of green groups, ranging from The Nature Conservancy to the Citizens Climate Lobby. By targeting overabundant small trees while leaving the hardy big ones, that bill would have increased logging while protecting habitat and reducing wildfire.
Trump’s new law eliminates those protections, freeing loggers to cut big trees and leave behind the small ones. This will worsen existing tinderbox conditions, particularly in the West.
The law also essentially outsources some public forest management to corporations. It directs the Forest Service and Bureau of Land Management to develop at least 45 separate, 20-year contracts with private companies. The contracts would enable companies to log across whole districts – not yet determined – or even entire national forests.
An approach this broad has a sordid history of inefficiency, waste, and environmental destruction. For example, the Skokomish River on Washington’s Olympic Peninsula suffered decades of damaging floods as a result of the sweeping contract one company had for the so-called Shelton Sustained Yield Unit. That sweetheart timber deal created many bare, flood-prone hillsides and lasted from 1946 until 2022.
Perhaps it’s surprising, but even timber interests oppose 20-year contracts. Over 70 logging-related businesses sent a letter sent to the Forest Service, pointing out that by allowing a single company to tie up publicly owned timber in a national forest, “long-term contracts would harm competition, markets and prices.”
Why didn’t industry opposition get heard? One theory is that these contracts can serve as a fig leaf masking the consequences of Trump’s high tariffs on Canadian lumber. As tariffs on Canadian timber raise homebuilding costs, the administration can claim to be offsetting the problem by providing cheaper logs from national forests.
In the meantime, the Forest Service is scrambling to meet an onslaught of new Trump executive orders. In June, Secretary of Agriculture Brooke Rollins rescinded “seven agency-specific regulations” that resulted in a 66% reduction of mostly environmental reviews that will offer little opportunity for public comment.
Last week, Rollins also announced her intent to roll back the 2001 Roadless Area Protection Rule, which protects 60 million acres of wildlands. Until Sept. 19, the U.S. Forest Service is taking public comments for a study on the environmental impacts of rescinding the roadless rule, fierce legal and political fights are guaranteed in an effort to preserve the rule.
All this amounts to a lot of change for an agency ravaged by Elon Musk’s crew of cost-cutters. Some national forests here in Washington State have lost over a third of their professional staff, while regional offices may be eliminated entirely. Gone are the many experts who had the experience to plan quality timber projects that respect fish and wildlife and reduce wildfire risk.
Will Trump succeed in near doubling the cut from our public forests? Based on my 40 years in the field, I predict the outcome will be a modest increase – but at the high cost of a severe reduction of best practices. That means our national forests, streams, and wildlife will suffer as dry fuels keep building up.
I see more big wildfires in our future.
Mitch Friedman is a contributor to Writers on the Range, writersontherange.org, an independent nonprofit spurring lively conversation about the West. He heads Seattle-based Conservation Northwest.